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  6. Estimates Of Submicron Particulate Matter (pm1) Concentrations For 1998-2022 Across The Contiguous Usa: Leveraging Measurements Of Pm1 With Nationwide Pm2·5 Component Data

Estimates of submicron particulate matter (PM1) concentrations for 1998-2022 across the contiguous USA: leveraging measurements of PM1 with nationwide PM2·5 component data

Chi Li1, Randall V Martin1, Aaron van Donkelaar1

  • 1Department of Energy, Environmental and Chemical Engineering, Washington University in St Louis, St Louis, MO, USA.

The Lancet. Planetary Health|June 14, 2025

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View abstract on PubMed

Summary

Submicron particulate matter (PM1) concentrations in the USA decreased significantly from 1998-2022, driving much of the fine particulate matter (PM2.5) reduction. This highlights the need to assess PM1 health impacts separately from PM2.5.

Area of Science:

  • Environmental Health Sciences
  • Atmospheric Chemistry
  • Epidemiology

Background:

  • Estimates of health risks from fine particulate matter (PM2.5) vary due to differences in aerosol size and composition.
  • Submicron particulate matter (PM1) may have stronger health impacts than PM2.5, but long-term US data has been lacking.
  • This study addresses the data gap by estimating PM1 concentrations across the USA from 1998-2022.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To estimate biweekly ambient PM1 concentrations and their uncertainties across the contiguous USA from 1998-2022.
  • To analyze the spatial and temporal trends of PM1 concentrations.
  • To investigate the relationship between PM1 and PM2.5 concentrations and their components.

Main Methods:

  • Developed hybrid estimates of PM2.5 chemical composition using satellite retrievals, air quality modeling, and ground monitoring.
  • Estimated biweekly gapless ambient PM1 concentrations at 1 km² resolution.
  • Constrained PM1 mass fractions using observational data for major components and scientific understanding for others.

Main Results:

  • PM1 concentrations showed significant spatial variation, with higher levels in the east, urban/industrial areas, and wildfire-affected regions.
  • Population-weighted mean (PWM) PM1 decreased significantly (-0.23 μg/m³ per year) from 1998-2022, accounting for 86% of the PM2.5 reduction.
  • The PM1/PM2.5 ratio also decreased, indicating a shift towards coarser PM2.5, likely due to reduced emissions from combustion sources.

Conclusions:

  • The significant reduction in PM1, a major component of PM2.5, reflects successful air quality regulations targeting fossil fuel and combustion sources.
  • The decreasing PM1/PM2.5 ratio suggests a gradual coarsening of PM2.5, necessitating separate health impact assessments for PM1 and PM2.5.
  • Future monitoring, health studies, and regulatory efforts should incorporate PM1 alongside PM2.5 for comprehensive environmental health protection.

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